Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000623 0.000702 0.000791 0.000899 0.001027 0.001176 0.001362
2025-02-16 0.000503 0.000608 0.000737 0.000911 0.001143 0.001449 0.001893
2025-02-23 0.000437 0.000556 0.000713 0.000942 0.001278 0.001772 0.002593
2025-03-02 0.000385 0.000510 0.000683 0.000952 0.001378 0.002068 0.003364
2025-03-09 0.000341 0.000464 0.000642 0.000934 0.001428 0.002293 0.004107
2025-03-16 0.000310 0.000433 0.000619 0.000936 0.001505 0.002585 0.005114
2025-03-23 0.000287 0.000411 0.000603 0.000946 0.001599 0.002934 0.006442
2025-03-30 0.000271 0.000395 0.000596 0.000969 0.001718 0.003377 0.008307
2025-04-06 0.000253 0.000376 0.000580 0.000972 0.001798 0.003761 0.010316
2025-04-13 0.000243 0.000368 0.000581 0.001008 0.001958 0.004405 0.013843
2025-04-20 0.000223 0.000342 0.000548 0.000969 0.001940 0.004570 0.015718
2025-04-27 0.000211 0.000328 0.000535 0.000970 0.002014 0.005036 0.019583
2025-05-04 0.000202 0.000319 0.000531 0.000993 0.002162 0.005841 0.026937
2025-05-11 0.000193 0.000310 0.000526 0.001013 0.002310 0.006759 0.037723
2025-05-18 0.000187 0.000305 0.000528 0.001050 0.002520 0.008085 0.057460
2025-05-25 0.000178 0.000295 0.000520 0.001062 0.002661 0.009260 0.083332
2025-06-01 0.000168 0.000280 0.000501 0.001042 0.002697 0.009993 0.109795
2025-06-08 0.000161 0.000270 0.000490 0.001043 0.002808 0.011236 0.161558
2025-06-15 0.000154 0.000263 0.000484 0.001056 0.002961 0.012915 0.260833
2025-06-22 0.000150 0.000259 0.000483 0.001082 0.003177 0.015318 0.490240
2025-06-29 0.000144 0.000251 0.000475 0.001085 0.003308 0.017361 0.883057
2025-07-06 0.000141 0.000249 0.000480 0.001126 0.003620 0.021494 2.570644
2025-07-13 0.000133 0.000235 0.000456 0.001082 0.003539 0.021946 3.817937